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Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 30-year main contracts up 0.74%, 10-year main contracts up 0.41%, 5-year main contracts up 0.28% and 2-year main contracts up 0.09%.Yu Donglai said that the goal of Pangdonglai is to be a model for enterprises. On December 13th, Yu Donglai issued a document on the nature and goal of Pangdonglai: the nature of Pangdonglai is to train employees to have a sound personality and the ability to live a happy life like a school! Pang Donglai's goal in enterprise is to be a model of enterprise, so that enterprises can learn, share and spread scientific ideas and methods, achieve more healthy development of enterprises, and make bosses and employees healthy and beautiful! Let the country and society be better, instead of doing business by yourself, I hope everyone understands!

CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.Hezhou, Guangxi: It is planned to resume accepting applications for individual housing provident fund loans such as newly-built single-family commercial houses and townhouses. The Hezhou Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region issued an announcement on publicly soliciting opinions on the Notice on Adjusting the Use Policy of Housing Provident Fund in this Municipality (draft for comments). The document also requires that the proportion and number of housing provident fund loans be optimized. The minimum down payment ratio for the first and second sets of housing provident fund loans is not less than 20%. The number of housing units applying for housing provident fund loans is determined according to the number of housing units of the applicant's family in the place of purchase (Babu District, Pinggui District, Zhongshan County, fuchuan county and Zhaoping County). Increase efforts to support the purchase of houses in different places and withdraw housing provident fund. Cancel the restrictions on the residence registration and work place for purchasing houses in different places. If the depositor of the housing provident fund in this city purchases self-occupied houses in different places, and the purchase time is within two years from the date of issuance of this notice, he may apply for the purchase of houses and withdraw the housing provident fund, and the total withdrawal amount shall not exceed the purchase price paid. If you have applied for a house purchase loan and repaid it for one year, you can apply for withdrawing the housing provident fund to repay the housing loan. The document also proposes to resume accepting applications for individual housing provident fund loans for newly-built single-family commercial houses, townhouses with low floors, townhouses with multi-floors and non-standard duplex houses.On the analysis of the daily limit at noon on December 13, the three major indexes fell by more than 1% in half a day, and the AI application side strengthened against the trend. Rishang group has 12 boards in 13 days, and one picture can be understood > >

China, Shimao Group, Sunac China, Longhu Group, R&F Property, Longguang Group, China Jinmao, Greentown China, Vanke, China Overseas Development, Ocean Shipping Group, Agile, Yuexiu Property and Xincheng Development all fell by over 9%, 6% and 5% respectively.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.Lin Yifu: Four advantages empower China's economy and drive global development. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. It was pointed out that in 2025, more active and promising macro policies will be implemented to expand domestic demand and promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation. Lin Yifu, president of Peking University New jiegou Research Institute, said in an interview that the advantages of talent, market, supply chain and system make China continuously competitive, and China will continue to be the driving force of global economic growth. （CGTN）